EURO: the down trend is not over yet

Τι πορεία πιστεύετε οτι θα έχει η αγορά;
May 8, 2014
Ο δρόμος για τις 1250-1300 μονάδες του Γενικού Δείκτη
May 14, 2014

Last week Draghi gave market the signal to sell EURUSD. Before Draghi’s speech our @Trading2dayFX exclusive account provided our subscribers with our view that EURUSD was going to reach near 1.40 and reverse. Our strategy was to wait until the target was reached and to look for an opportunity to sell one of the following pairs EURUSD-EURAUD-EURJPY.

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With EURUSD testing 1.40 and no clear stop level for a short position, I turned to EURAUD and saw an opportunity to sell as the technical picture at that time was clearer and I was provided with a clear stop for a short position. So I informed members that I went short EURAUD at 1.49.

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Later on we added to our short position by placing a sell stop order that was hit. EURUSD also reversed after Draghi’s comments that action will be taken in June and we all know what happened next.

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Once EURAUD reached 1.47 we took profits and we waited for an upward bounce to re-sell the pair. At first I was expecting the bounce to reach 1.4760 but  it only reached 1.4751.

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Today as I mentioned through my twitter account @alexanderyf, EURUSD was forming a bearish flag and I was looking to sell EUR again.

euraud

So I decided to sell EURAUD again as price was being rejected at the upper channel boundaries. Through my exclusive twitter account for subscribers interested in FX and Gold trades, I tweeted that I sold EURAUD at 1.4720 exactly when my trade was executed. Now at 1.4655 we are gaining 65 pips already and EUR is looking weaker, as buyers were not strong enough to stage a strong upward bounce. EURUSD bearish flag was broken and this pair has made a new low at 1.37 and is challenging important support levels as shown in the chart below.

eurusd

My view is that as long as EURUSD stays below 1.3780 we will see  the decline continue towards 1.35 where the Ichimoku cloud support is found. EURUSD is weak and I believe all EUR pairs will continue towards lower levels during this week. Any bounce will surely meet sellers and I believe will be short-lived.

Concluding, down trend is strong as the reversal from 1,40 and the signals by Draghi were very important. EURO is at  a trend reversal point and sellers continue to show their strength. Trend is down and price is expected to move lower towards at least 1.35. Through our exclusive twitter account @trading2dayFX, subscribers receive all my trades and analysis for major fx pairs plus Gold plus Oil. My trades have more than covered the cost of the subscription before the half of the month is over.

As always, thank you for taking the time to read my new post.

Alexandros Yfantis
Alexandros Yfantis
Fascinated by financial markets, studied International Securities Investment and Banking in the UK, works as a Portfolio Manager in Greece and runs a technical analysis website. Enjoys travelling and spending time with his family and preparing for the black belt in Korean Karate.