NIKKEI cloud analysis

I wanted to point out two important bearish signs for the chart of Nikkei on the daily and weekly time frame using my favorite Ichimoku cloud analysis. In the Daily chart Nikkei is below the Kumo (CLOUD). This is a bearish sign. Bulls tried to push price back inside but got rejected and price fell back below the cloud. Bulls are now trying again to get inside the cloud and then above it. However it seems that we are going to see another rejection. A rejection on a daily basis would be a bearish sign.

Support at 20800 is key and a break below it will be a bearish sign. On a weekly basis we have see a rejection at the cloud resistance while price remains below the weekly cloud.

Trading below the cloud is a bearish sign. However price seems to be supported around 21000 price level. A weekly close below the kijun-sen (yellow line indicator) at 21000 would be a bearish sign that would imply more selling pressure should come soon.

In both daily and weekly time frames Ichimoku clouds are bearish for NIKKEI. For this to change we need to see at least price break above 21800 which is the upper cloud boundary on a daily basis.

 

Thank you for taking the time to catch up on my thinking.