OIL close to a bottom but still in downtrend

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November 11, 2013
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OIL prices have been falling for some time now, inside the downward sloping channel as shown in the first chart below. Trend remains down as prices continue to make and lower highs. Prices have reached the 76,4% Fibonacci retracement and the area of the previous wave 2 consolidation.


Oil prices are expected to find support as the decline has pushed prices near 76,4% retracement, prices have touched the lower boundaries of the downward sloping channel and the area of the previous wave 2 consolidation area. Support is strong between 91 and 95. Oil has made a low at 93 and unless prices break above 95, there is no good chance for a trend reversal.


Both Ichimoku cloud support and the upward sloping trend line in the weekly chart provide support for the longer term pattern of higher highs and higher lows, supporting our view that  a trend reversal could be near. For more help trading OIL, become a subscriber today.

As always, thank you for taking the time to catch up on my thinking.


Alexandros Yfantis
Alexandros Yfantis
Fascinated by financial markets, studied International Securities Investment and Banking in the UK, works as a Portfolio Manager in Greece and runs a technical analysis website. Enjoys travelling and spending time with his family and preparing for the black belt in Korean Karate.